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NCAA Baskall Betting Tips: Who to Bet On/Against Off Win or Loss

Which college basketball teams are the best and worst
against the spread off a straight up win and straight up loss? Two weeks ago, we
gave the Margin of Cover (MOC) breakdown. Renamed “sweat barometer” in Chad
Millman of ESPN’s column, MOC is similar to scoring margin, but it is measured
by how much a team covers or fails to cover the point spread, many sports
handicappers believe MOC is invaluable in isolating under and overvalued teams.

The teams are ranked using that same MOC statistic.

As of: games
entering Feb. 11

Minimum number of lined applicable games: seven

Here are the top teams to bet on off a win according to their MOC

Team ATS Record Margin of Cover

Miami Fl 14-3 +9.2

San
Francisco 7-1 +8.1

Towson 9-3 +7.3

Florida 12-5 +6.0

Colorado St. 9-6 +5.7

Southern Miss 10-6 +5.5

Cal
Northridge 10-3 +5.2

Western Mich 10-4 +5.0

These would be the
best teams to best against off a straight up win according to MOC

Team
ATS Record Margin of Cover

Marshall 0-10 -10.8

Drexel 1-8 -7.8

TCU 0-7 -6.6

Cleveland St 3-7 -5.3

Oregon St 2-8 -5.1

Here are the top teams to bet on following a straight up loss according
to their MOC

Team ATS Record Margin of Cover

G Washington 8-0
+9.2

UL Lafayette 8-5 +6.2

South Dakota 8-6 +5.5

Toledo
7-2 +5.3

CS Fullerton 6-4 +5.2

Nebraska 8-3 +5.2

These
would be the best teams to best against off a straight up loss according to MOC

Team ATS Record Margin of Cover

SE Missouri 2-7 -6.7

CS
Northridge 2-7 -5.8

Alabama 1-7 -5.6

Morehead St 4-6 -5.3

Southern Illinois 5-9 -5.0

Not surprisingly, a disproportionate
number of teams are from smaller conferences as most pro gamblers believe the
lower profile the team, the better the opportunity. There is no discernable
pattern as to general rules of thumb to whether it is better to bet on or
against a squad based on their previous game result.

Written by Joe
Duffy of VegasTopDogs.com

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This entry was posted on February 20, 2013 by in College Basketball and tagged , , , , .
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